The only other technician I follow is Dan Norcini. Dan speaks well to the nature of our markets now and how they are driven by high frequency trading algorithms, guided by MOPE. Do not for one second believe that it is mom and pop or Joe six pack that are discovering prices in this market.
Grease is definitely the word.
Years ago there was a men’s hair care product (okay – let’s call it what it really was and do away with the euphemisms – GREASE) by the name of Brylcreem. Boys and men slathered this stuff between the palms of their hands and then rubbed it into their hair. The result was that you could make that hair so stiff it would stay there all day no matter rain, fog, or gloom of night. Problem hair? No problem! Grease it into obedience!
In watching the price action in the S&P 500 this morning I am reminded of that commercial (Yeah I know – my brain thinks in weird terms!). The index had the audacity to become like a problem hair – uncooperative, unruly and generally out of place in the minds of the monetary authorities idea of what is supposed to be a beautiful head of hair.
So what to do about this? Why send the boyz out to the microphone and “grease” this thing back into compliance.
Note the price chart and you will see what I am talking about. For the first time this year the S&P had fallen BELOW the techically significant 50 day moving average. That is a gigantic “NO-NO”, as it signifies a market moving toward a bearish posture.
Why, miracle of miracles, out trots New York Fed President Dudley with his comments fanning the hopes of those wishing for more QE, and “Voila!”, back goes the S&P 500 through the 50 day moving average! Problem solved; hair greased back into place; now let’s go play Dodge Ball!